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September 22, 2008
Posted: 1531 GMT
LONDON, ENGLAND–Those were the foreboding words of Wajid Shamsul Hasan hours before the Marriott hotel went up in flames.
Hasan is Pakistan's High Commissioner here in London and while his words to me had nothing to do with the terror attack, his warning was prophetic. Hasan's main concern before terrorists razed one of Islamabad's ‘Western' icons was American policy in Pakistan's tribal areas. The Pakistani government says it is furious at U.S. military incursions into the tribal regions saying it violates their sovereignty. More to the point Pakistani officials say, during these incursions the Americans have hit civilian targets, not Al Qaeda militants. Which is what led Mr. Hasan to warn, "We're 160 million people in that part of the world that is already burning and volatile, all the region will be in flames if something goes haywire and these sort of policies continue so I'm sure our friends in America will listen to us." But will American be listening? Even as President Asif Ali Zardari wings his way to Washington, American military and intelligence chiefs aren't necessarily looking at the Marriott attack as a game-changer. While there is considerable interest in who ordered this attack and how it was executed, the 'why' it happened is less material to American policy in Pakistan. There was already word on Monday that a U.S. military helicopter may have made yet another incursion into Pakistan's tribal areas. The Pakistani President is hoping that the ‘I told you so' rant he delivers to President Bush will make him think twice about aggressively pursuing militants on Pakistani soil. In the words of Mr. Hasan, the Pakistani population can't take much more, enraged as it is over civilian deaths and American violations of their territorial integrity. But in the same breath, the Pakistanis say they won't be intimidated by terrorists. They say they will continue pursuing militants in the Bajaur region, a notorious safe haven for terrorist training and activity. The Americans may be thinking to themselves the same thing the Pakistanis are saying in public: ‘We are not backing down'. The problem with this American proposition is that there is the issue of a Pakistani border and the little ‘problem' of territorial integrity. More to the point, the Pakistani government claims American incursions have been largely ineffective, unless their intention is to cultivate still more resentment against the U.S. The fact is, while the Marriott attack will give a renewed sense of urgency to the Zardari meetings this week in the Oval Office, it will change little in the military planning offices across Washington. Posted by: International Security Correspondent, Paula Newton |
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