Edition: U.S. | Arabic | Set Pref
October 14, 2008
Posted: 1756 GMT

LONDON, England — Paula Newton writes below on the British Government shelving plans to extend pre-charge detention limits for terrorism suspects from 28 to 42 days.

UK Security Minister Alan West.
UK Security Minister Alan West.

As a follow-up, it’s worth noting comments today from the the country’s security minister, Alan West, about the nature of the threat facing Britain.

Now, West has “misspoken” in the past. He had to be rapped on the knuckles last year after he appeared to express a certain ambivalence towards the very counterterrorism legislation he was about to pilot through the House of Lords. (Something he clearly failed to do with the loss of the vote in the upper chamber yesterday.) But his latest comments are stark and give pause for thought.

“The threat is huge,” he said.

Yes, we’ve heard that sort of thing before. But it’s the next bit, albeit awkwardly worded, that’s more interesting.

“The threat dipped slightly and is now rising again with the context of severe, large complex plots, because we unraveled one the damage it caused to Al Qaeda actually faded slightly.

“They are now building up again. There is another great plot building up again and we are monitoring this.”

It’s the last bit that grabs my attention. Rather than the numbers game that MI5 has played in recent years, we have a reference, it seems, to one, great, specific plot.

The analysis about the ebb and flow of the threat is interesting as well and it tallies with something I heard from a senior figure in the UK counterterrorism firmament earlier this year.

His analysis at that time (May) was that there had been a pause in centrally directed Al Qaeda operations in the UK. There was still a huge amount of activity being monitored by police and the intelligence agencies, he said, but no big plots.

His assessment was that Al Qaeda had taken a bit of a beating in the UK with more than sixty terrorism convictions. He characterized it thus: “Somewhere someone [in Al Qaeda] has been saying, ‘we’ve taken losses in the UK, what do we do now?’”

That was then, this is now. And things really do appear to have changed.

Lord West’s comments follow hot on the heels of a security briefing from a “senior Whitehall source” that the current threat level is almost as high as it was immediately after 7/7. It’s not critical yet (the highest level), according to the “source,” but it is at “the severe end of severe.”

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Filed under: Al Qaeda • Britain • Threat Assessment


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Mysterion   October 16th, 2008 1918 GMT

Pfft.,Makes me so tired.stil this helpy,helpy.

Man Be tough ,be a man.

keep your head clear ,no need to get paranoid,

Haven ‘t you ever heared that paranoia rather attrackts the biggest danger, and that panic is the biggest danger?

Come on ,bro, take a few tranquilize s and take it easy ,bro.

Let me ask you first ,out of which old fridge did you pull that name al qaida?.

Because everybody ,now ,knows that before 9-11 there was no Al qaida at all ,not in Iraq not in Afghanistan.

It was a dish up out Bush industries inc.

But maybe you find them in the U.S?,. you have a chance.

Safety is a feeling!,

That nevertheless can bought and sold,

but it’s a feeling, not a fact.

and for security the same as well.

The Chinees teacher,Lao tse once said to his students,after a student had asked”Master what is real danger and when is it most likely to occure”.

Lao tse answered “The moment, you start to feel save,is when danger occures, because increasing of feeling save is decreasing of awareness.( is an illusion).feel safe now? or became aware?

Warrington Local » Blog Archive » All shapes and sizes   October 26th, 2008 142 GMT

[...] England – One day after Lord West’s ominous warning of one  ’great plot’ being monitored by UK [...]

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Paula Newton and Andrew CareyNews and observations on the threats to international security and the challenges posed by terrorism to societies around the world. By CNN's International Security Correspondent, Paula Newton, and International Security Producer, Andrew Carey. From breaking news to background stories, from serious analysis to casual asides, if we think it's interesting we'll post it here.

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