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January 7, 2009
Posted: 1649 GMT
LONDON, England – I was not lucky enough to be in the room as Jonathan Evans, the head of MI5, Britain’s domestic spy agency, gave his historic interview. It has only been about 15 years since the government has even officially acknowledged the existence of the agency. So MI5’s first newspaper interview in a century of existence is a big deal, even if the news Evans divulged was less than ground breaking. Still for those of us covering security, it is reassuring to be able to hang all those intelligence tips and accumulated research on cold, hard facts uttered by Britain’s chief spook. What is the single most important thing he said? His intelligence tells him the threat level can stay right where it is, at situation ‘severe’ but not crucially, a notch above at ‘critical.’ Why? Al Qaeda has not given birth to a British franchise. And, significantly, Evans says they have monitored fewer and fewer plots in “late-stage” attack mode. The rest is all a bit academic, but let’s go through it anyway. Evans describes the financial crisis as a “watershed moment” for security reasons, not economic ones. He points out that the power paradigm is shifting in meaningful ways; Western nations will lose financial leverage and that will have security implications. Bankrolling the bust will affect more than our financial wellbeing, you can count on it. Evans also catalogues the latest chapter in what is known as ‘blowback’. The theory contends that violence in Muslim countries will eventually ‘blowback’ to countries like Britain, motivating attackers to seek revenge. Evans says there is no doubt the latest crisis in Gaza will be used as a new selling point to radicalize and recruit future attackers. In terms of future attacks, Evans has shared some concrete insights. In terms of the likelihood of another al Qaeda inspired terror attack on Britain he says: “There is enough intelligence to show they have the intention to mount an attack here.” Secondly he confirms what other authorities in Britain have asserted for years, far too many British young men are leaving for Pakistan, Afghanistan and even Somalia in search of terrorist training and indoctrination. There is still plenty in what Evans said that you can lose sleep over, including the fact that MI5 will double its staff in the decade after 9/11. Still, although Britain’s spook-in-chief can’t and won’t say so bluntly, reading between his lines you can arguably conclude we are safer today than were the day after 9/11. Am I wrong? We want to hear from you. Filed under: Al Qaeda Britain General Threat Assessment
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